The basic principle behind inflation is that as the
money supply increases, so too does the relative price of goods and services. A
common sentiment for children to hold is “why can’t we all be millionaires,
then there would be no poor people”, or something to that effect. The answer is
inflation. In theory we could all be millionaires, but this would drive up the
price of consumer goods to reflect the increase in money supply, essentially
balancing out society’s new found wealth.
The above scenario is an example of hyper-inflation,
where prices rise in an exceedingly rapid fashion. In reality, most modern
countries with stable, or fairly stable, economies have an inflation rate in
the low single digits. When using New Zealand as an example, we have recorded
an inflation rate of a little below three percent since the turn of the
century, never veering too far from that mark in any one year. For the average
citizen what this means is that as the amount of New Zealand currency increases
by three percent annually, the price of goods and services follow in order to
keep pace. In essence, you would have to be earning three percent or more in
additional income each year in order to avoid a decrease in your buying power.
The example of wage parity shares a common connection
with how savings are affected by changes in inflation. Your savings must also
increase at the same rate of inflation each year in order hold their real
worth. If prices are rising annually but your savings remain unchanged, you are
able to purchase less with the same amount as you were the previous year. This
is why keeping your savings hidden under a mattress is not the smartest
investment strategy, even if you ignore the security issues. What the vast
majority of us do instead is deposit our savings into the bank.
Banks have made for sound investments, seeing as the
deposit rate has traditionally been above the inflation rate, at least in New
Zealand. This means that your savings are growing faster than inflation,
effectively increasing the value of your deposit within the marketplace. The
problem is, following an increase in GST, inflation has risen above the
interest rates offered by banks. It is still a far safer investment than
storing cash under your mattress, but not as secure as it once was.
Modern investors need to more carefully consider their
options when structuring a portfolio. Of course the key advantage of a bank is
that you don’t risk losing your investment, but if your value is being eroded
from year to year then you have to ask yourself what the point is. The best
thing to do is speak to an Investment Adviser, who can help sort through your
options and minimise the impact of inflation upon your savings.
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